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 <title>The Frugal Yankee - OF COURSE THEY GOT IT WRONG - Comments</title>
 <link>http://www.frugalyankee.com/node/462</link>
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 <title>OF COURSE THEY GOT IT WRONG</title>
 <link>http://www.frugalyankee.com/node/462</link>
 <description>&lt;!-- google_ad_section_start --&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;center&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;font color=&quot;red&quot;&gt;&lt;font size=&quot;5&quot;&gt;OF COURSE THEY GOT IT WRONG &lt;/b&gt;&lt;/center&gt;&lt;font color=&quot;black&quot;&gt;&lt;font size=&quot;2&quot;&gt;In the aftermath of getting it so wrong in the New Hampshire primary, people are asking why? Why they did so poorly. When I say they, I mean the pundits and their minions, the pollsters.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;http://www.frugalyankee.com/files/voting_yellow.gif&quot; align=&quot;right&quot; width=&quot;140&quot; height=&quot;140&quot; hspace=&quot;10&quot;&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;When pollsters attempt to divine election outcomes, a minimum number of people are required to make the survey statistically sound. It varies from pollster to pollster, but let&#039;s assume 1000 responders are needed. Now think about this. How many people simply hang up the phone or don&#039;t answer? This alone makes it difficult. Now toss in voters who really don&#039;t know or don&#039;t have a grasp of the issues.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;img src=&quot;http://www.frugalyankee.com/files/celebrity_caller.jpg&quot; align=&quot;left&quot; width=&quot;160&quot; height=&quot;200&quot; hspace=&quot;10&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Figure this number to a multiple of 20. So to get 1000 responses, they need 20,000 calls to likely voters. It may be even more. It really is a daunting task.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;!-- google_ad_section_end --&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.frugalyankee.com/node/462&quot;&gt;read more&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
 <comments>http://www.frugalyankee.com/node/462#comment</comments>
 <pubDate>Wed, 16 Apr 2008 19:52:56 -0400</pubDate>
 <dc:creator>Garen Daly</dc:creator>
 <guid isPermaLink="false">462 at http://www.frugalyankee.com</guid>
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